
It’s been eight years since the Euros buzz hit England thanks to that wet Wembley loss against Croatia where Steve McClaren joined Rihanna in the umbrella hall of fame. It feels very good to be back in the mix, Euro 2008 was a great tournament with quite a refreshing slant of neutrality but given the choice you’d always rather your country was in the mix, just in case they do a Greece/Denmark. This time it seems England are lacking any expectation what so ever, at last. Their group could have been a lot worse (group B), whilst it could have been a bit kinder too (group A). Instead England were drawn with France and then like Lee Cattermole picked up two yellows, Sweden and hosts Ukraine.
The build-up has been anything but smooth, a new manager, a suspended Rooney, no Wilshere, the lingering Terry situation, a Gerrard who seems to dodge Liverpool wins, mass debate over the strikers with no runaway options. Joe Hart seems to be one of the few rays of light. Not since David Seaman have England seemingly been so relaxed over its keeper.
Here’s a little look at some of the issues facing the side and a brief look at who England will be facing:
Team Issues:
The manager:
I’ve heard and read a lot about Hodgson lately since the FA approached then hired him and one thing which has cropped up is his reputation for a 4-4-2. When Fulham made a remarkable run into the Europa Cup final Zoltan Gera played off Zamora as an attacking midfielder with license to roam a bit, link play and swap with the very forward thinking Dempsey at times. It was more a 4-4-1-1 which easily morphs into 4-2-3-1 in attack. At Liverpool Torres was a loan striker at least as often as he had a partner. Whilst at West Brom we’ve seen Odemwingie employed as a winger at times this season with Marc-Antoine Fortune as the target man. Recently the side has reverted back to more of a 4-4-2 with Shane Long back to fitness but he’s been flexible, the personnel available to him seemingly deciding what he goes for. With England Hodgson will have an abundance of choices available to him, at least in terms of quantity.
The only reputation I think is fair for him is his rigid and organised defensive set-ups. The amount of clean sheets West Brom are eeking out lately is a far cry from that of past West Brom managers. His philosophy has had a season to bed in there and with his hand-picked personnel to implement his ideas their clean sheet record lately is nothing short of remarkable for a West Brom side. The pinnacle was probably the clean sheet against Man City where they squeezed the creativity and space out of vastly superior players. It wasn’t like Sunderland’s smash and grab v Man City (the Jiiiiiiiiiiiiii game) where Dzeko and co spurned several good opportunities, in this game Man City were limited to pop-shots with anything clear-cut snuffed out at source.
Similarly at Fulham the side became quite adept at keeping both possession and clean-sheets. In 08/09 when Fulham got their 7th place finish to qualify for the Europa League which they so nearly won Schwarzer conceded less than a goal a game over the season. Back then this was with an unknown Hangeland, Aaron Hughes who was maybe unfairly known as part of some calamitous Newcastle defences, Konchesky from West Ham and Chris Baird from relegated Southampton.
A very interesting aspect of Hodgson’s time at Fulham was his taming of the beast that is Clint Dempsey. In two words and less than five seconds name Clint Dempsey’s position? Exactly. Dempsey was actually often a sub during Fulham’s famous Europa League run. More natural wide men Duff and Davies were starters, whilst Gera was the link man between midfield and Zamora. Instead of shoe-horning arguably better individuals into a position Hodgson seems to prefer a natural winger/playmaker/striker to do the job, with unit/system trumping the individuals. As an England manager this could be what many have been crying out for. Saying that he played Daniel Agger at left back and Raul Meireles wide right so who knows…
He got Switzerland to 3rd in the FIFA rankings. Sold!
The most irreplaceable player needs to be replaced:
Watching Manchester United lately is a painful experience as it’s a constant reminder that Rooney booted that Montenegrin. The debate over who should replace him is kind of the issue. He’s head and shoulders above any other English striker. He’s also arguably England’s only world-class player these days with the ageing of the ‘golden generation,’ what ever world-class actually means. I sometimes have dreams that Daniel Sturridge was the one who kicked that Montenegrin, in one dream it was Heskey and UEFA banned him for life. These dreams will likely happen until June 11th, still very much in denial. It’s a great opportunity for others to try to fill the void but it’s just not the same. WHY WAYNE? WHHHHHHHY?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!
Centre back dilemmas:
Aside from making Andy Carroll look like Romario at one point in the FA Cup final, and then getting nutmegged for 45 minutes three days later John Terry has been in largely vintage form this season. Meanwhile Rio Ferdinand has crucially stayed fit for a prolonged period to slightly soften the blow of an injured Vidic. Given his class and experience prolonged fitness is often the only factor to whether Ferdinand makes the national side, even now. The problem here of course is the grey cunt in the room. Yep, the elephant that is the Terry racism case with Rio’s brother Anton. On form they arguably both deserve a place, but will it do more harm than good?
Joleon Lescott has been a rock alongside Vincent Kompany since the turn of the year, he’s even taken time out to polish Stefan Savic’s turds (the much maligned Savic possesses the best win ratio in the Premier league). On merit, including a colossal rope-a-dope performance in the friendly win over Spain recently, Lescott probably deserves a place in the side. The issue here being he’s a very left-sided centre back. Put him alongside Terry and you have the problem England faced against Germany in South Africa, with the left-sided centre back Upson alongside John Terry who of his 500+ games for Chelsea I’d hazard a guess that at least 450 of them have been on the left of his partner. So much so that David Luiz, a traditionally left-sided centre back himself, is always made to play on the right when alongside Terry. At his club Lescott has Kompany so it’s never an issue. For England it does put a little question mark over the Terry and Lescott partnership.
All the alternatives to this trio have their own issues too with lack of big game experience (Jagielka), injury (Dawson), questionable showings in past friendlies (Smalling), questionable club form (Cahill), lack of games this season (Phil Playstation Jones). You sense this tournament may be one tournament too early for the latter three names there at least. You never know what Hodgson has in mind but my money is on Lescott and the old guard being slightly ahead of this quintet.
Possible starting XI: Hart, Walker, Lescott, Terry, Cole, Parker, Barry, Gerrard, Walcott, Young, Welbeck. (supersub: Oxlade-Chamberlain).
Opponents:
Game 1 – France.
Just as Thierry Henry and Anelka passed their sell by dates recently Karim Benzema has ripened into a genuinely elite striker of European football. His goal helped set France on their way to victory when the two sides last met in a friendly just over a year ago. In reality the 2-1 scoreline was incredibly kind on England who were toyed with at times by the French. England did at least have an excuse that day with a few debutants starting and several big players missing but it still doesn’t hide the fact the French looked a very talented side despite being in the infancy of Blanc’s reign at the time.
Benzema’s spot in the side looks pretty straight-forward, it’s the band of three behind him which looks very much up for grabs. Maybe it’s not quite an embarrassment of riches but it’s not too far off, let’s call it a faux pas of ooh la la. They’ve got a resurgent Ribery, a title-winning (?) Nasri, the goalscoring Remy, the pocket-playmaker Valbuena, the exciting Menez and the rather stagnating pair of Malouda and Gourcuff.
Importantly they appear to have a manager whose standing in European and French football, especially the modern game, has everyone on side. No repeats of the sometimes farcical scenes in South Africa look possible under Blanc. There’s a real freshness and hunger in the French side now with the last of the old-guard having been flushed out like an ego enema. There’s a real unpredictability to this side which for me makes them dark horses who could trouble the big three of Spain, Germany and the Netherlands in one-off games. Against England, a side without Rooney for starters, a win is not just possible, I fear it’s more likely than not.
Possible starting XI: Lloris, Debuchy, Rami, Mexes, Evra, M’Vila, Cabaye, Ribery, Nasri, Remy, Benzema. (supersub: Ben Arfa).
Game 2 – Sweden.
Despite being English I almost wouldn’t mind England losing 3-0 to an Ibrahimovic hattrick just to put to bed possibly the harshest of reputations for AC Milan’s big balletic pirate. He’s no doubt the danger man but he’ll be surrounded by some very selfless, intelligent and technically gifted players. We know of several of their players from their time in the Premier League whilst Kallstrom joins Ibrahimovic as well-known from the Champions League stage. There is still a lot of mystery surrounding this side though in how they’ll gel. An undoubtedly over-generalised stereotype in my mind is the Scandinavian teams gel quite well whether it be from good management or a lack of dangerous egos. Maybe it’s just a trap I fell into as a kid of “I haven’t heard of many of these players therefore they can’t be very good. Oh! They’ve done well, they must have good team spirit.” Oh god it is that. Moving on…
Daniel Eriksson of FourFourtwo Sweden paints a positive picture of the state of the side going into this tournament. He states, “After failing to qualify for the last World Cup, the expectation for Euro 2012 is huge in Sweden. The new coach Erik Hamren has been a breath of fresh air and the team spirit seems to be better than ever.” The way Sweden clinched qualification with a thrilling 3-2 win over the Netherlands is no doubt a big part of this optimism.
There’s every chance England will have to get a win from this game. They snuck a 1-0 win in the recent Wembley friendly with quite a mixed side, yet whilst Sweden’s XI that day looked quite similar to the one you’d expect in Kiev you can’t really compare a friendly at Wembley sandwiched between important club games to an intense European Championship game on neutral turf. I think England can take three points here but I certainly wouldn’t bet on it, especially with no Rooney to expose who ever fills in for the injured Majstorovic.
Possible starting XI: Isaksson, Lustig, Mellberg, Jonas Olsson, Martin Olsson, Svensson, Kallstrom, Toivonen, Ibrahimovic, S.Larsson, Elmander. (supersub: John Guidetti).
Game 3 – Ukraine.
The pesky hosts, by far the unknown quantity of the group to the untrained English eye. Shevchenko still features as does Yarmolenko who was half-decent in the U21 Euros last summer. He’s now stepped up to the senior side but the big question mark over him and presumably others in the side will be is home advantage enough substitute for a couple of years of no competitive matches. They’ve had some humdinger friendlies in the last year against Uruguay, Germany and most recently Israel but it’s just not the same as the real thing.
In terms of team set-up Dmytro Dzhulai a commentator for Setanta Eurasia and a man whose name is definitely Ukranian enough for my liking explains, “tactically the team is at its best sitting back and hitting on the counter.”
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… sorry was just shivering in the corner after flashbacks of the German counter-attacks in South Africa. The description of Dzhulai certainly fits the personnel of wingers Yarmolenko and Konoplyanka who have pace and youth on their side. If selected Kyle Usain Walker and the disciplined Parker could be called upon here.
Up front Shevchenko is widely tipped to hold on to his starting place and whilst he may have left his explosiveness in the San Siro he still knows exactly where the goal is and is surrounded by the dynamism he now lacks. He’s currently shaking off a niggling thigh problem but expects to be fit in time for his international swan song. Motivation should be no issue given the circumstances.
Possible starting XI: Pyatov, Butko, Rakitskiy, Kucher, Selin, Tymoschuk, Yarmolenko, Aliyev, Konoplyanka, Shevchenko, Milevskiy. (supersub: Serhiy Nazarenko).
Verdict: France to win the group. On paper the Sweden v England game to decide the other qualifier but you just never know what the host nation has up their sleeve.